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AMD Advanced Micro Devices

semiconductor · 2026-10-27

N/A
too hard · 58
Owner-earnings value$58.57
Price$531.28
Margin of safety -89.0%

Quality gate · 58/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 14.7/22
Margins / pricing power 14.1/16
Balance sheet 14.9/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 4.1/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 3% < 9%)

Median ROIC2.9%
Gross margin53.2%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.2x
FCF conversion164%
Share count / yr+0.4%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)7.78B
Owner-earnings yield0.9%
Free-cash-flow yield1.0%
Growth used (normalized)10.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)14.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
18.47B 10.0%7.43B
29.25B 9.2%7.12B
310.03B 8.4%6.77B
410.80B 7.7%6.40B
511.55B 6.9%6.00B
612.25B 6.1%5.59B
712.90B 5.3%5.16B
813.49B 4.6%4.73B
914.00B 3.8%4.31B
1014.42B 3.0%3.89B

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Net cash 1.7B credited to value (interest stripped from owner earnings to avoid double-counting). · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-27 58 $531.28 $58.57 -89.0% N/A
2026-09-29 58 $607.87 $57.17 -90.6% N/A
2026-09-01 58 $470.72 $59.89 -87.3% N/A
2026-08-04 58 $484.64 $53.09 -89.0% N/A
2026-07-07 58 $552.05 $54.48 -90.1% N/A
2026-07-02 58 $540.88 $54.54 -89.9% N/A
2026-06-30 58 $539.49 $54.66 -89.9% N/A
2026-06-25 58 $519.74 $54.49 -89.5% N/A
2026-06-23 58 $519.85 $54.00 -89.6% N/A