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APTV Aptiv

auto · 2026-10-23

N/A
too hard · 43
Owner-earnings value$36.83
Price$43.81
Margin of safety -15.9%

Quality gate · 43/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 18.6/22
Margins / pricing power 5.8/16
Balance sheet 3.9/16
Cash conversion 9.2/10
Capital allocation 6/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%)

Median ROIC5.5%
Gross margin19.6%
Net debt / EBITDA3.0x
FCF conversion83%
Share count / yr-7.7%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)549.00M
Owner-earnings yield5.9%
Free-cash-flow yield7.4%
Growth used (normalized)5.3%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)9.6%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)11.1%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1577.89M 5.3%520.18M
2606.85M 5.0%491.69M
3635.74M 4.8%463.65M
4664.40M 4.5%436.16M
5692.68M 4.3%409.31M
6720.43M 4.0%383.19M
7747.47M 3.8%357.87M
8773.66M 3.5%333.41M
9798.81M 3.3%309.87M
10822.78M 3.0%287.29M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~10%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 5%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-23 43 $43.81 $36.83 -15.9% N/A
2026-10-12 43 $43.80 $35.54 -18.9% N/A
2026-09-29 43 $43.64 $36.24 -16.9% N/A
2026-09-16 43 $43.75 $37.37 -14.6% N/A
2026-09-03 43 $45.03 $37.68 -16.3% N/A
2026-08-21 43 $47.03 $38.17 -18.8% N/A
2026-08-07 44 $46.30 $47.86 +3.4% N/A
2026-07-27 44 $56.55 $47.20 -16.5% N/A
2026-07-14 44 $59.23 $47.78 -19.3% N/A
2026-07-03 44 $58.89 $49.64 -15.7% N/A
2026-07-02 44 $60.28 $48.94 -18.8% N/A
2026-06-26 44 $61.97 $49.10 -20.8% N/A
2026-06-25 44 $60.42 $49.43 -18.2% N/A
2026-06-24 44 $61.42 $48.82 -20.5% N/A
2026-06-23 44 $61.42 $48.82 -20.5% N/A