COP ConocoPhillips
good · 71
no moat
circle of competence: edge
trend up · +16.6% vs 200-DMA
Owner-earnings value$130.79
Price$125.92
Margin of safety
+3.9%
Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.
Quality gate · 71/100
Median ROIC13.9%
Gross margin27.7%
Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
FCF conversion90%
Share count / yr+0.0%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
| Moat | no moat |
| Trajectory | stable |
| Management | adequate |
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 9.28B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 6.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.7% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 3.0% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 2.1% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.56B | 3.0% | 8.77B |
| 2 | 9.85B | 3.0% | 8.29B |
| 3 | 10.14B | 3.0% | 7.83B |
| 4 | 10.45B | 3.0% | 7.40B |
| 5 | 10.76B | 3.0% | 6.99B |
| 6 | 11.08B | 3.0% | 6.61B |
| 7 | 11.42B | 3.0% | 6.24B |
| 8 | 11.76B | 3.0% | 5.90B |
| 9 | 12.11B | 3.0% | 5.58B |
| 10 | 12.47B | 3.0% | 5.27B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- 3 Market-Beating Stocks Worth Your Attention
- JB Pritzker Demands Big Oil Return 'Windfall Profits' as Iran’s Hormuz Demands Threaten Another Gas Price Spike
- XOM Charges A Premium Its Peers Do Not
- Can Chevron's Hess Synergies Extend Growth and Lift Cash Flow Further?
- ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance retiring, Andy O'Brien to take over
- COP Q2 Deep Dive: Portfolio Shifts, Leadership Change and Global Growth Initiatives
- ConocoPhillips Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- COP Q2 Earnings Call Reinforces 2029 Free Cash-Flow Path
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~2%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 3%. · growth/moat reused from the 2026-07-09 deep dive (codex-sub-gpt5.5).