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DASH DoorDash

retail · 2026-09-24

N/A
too hard · 41
Owner-earnings value$35.98
Price$189.27
Margin of safety -81.0%

Quality gate · 41/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 7.0/22
Margins / pricing power 13.9/16
Balance sheet 15.5/16
Cash conversion 3.3/10
Capital allocation 1.2/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic -4% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years

Median ROIC-4.5%
Gross margin51.4%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.6x
Share count / yr+3.5%
Profitable years2/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.15B
Owner-earnings yield1.4%
Free-cash-flow yield2.6%
Growth used (normalized)10.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)13.2%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
11.20B 10.0%1.06B
21.32B 9.2%1.03B
31.43B 8.4%984.37M
41.54B 7.7%936.58M
51.64B 6.9%884.68M
61.74B 6.1%829.57M
71.83B 5.3%772.19M
81.92B 4.6%713.48M
91.99B 3.8%654.32M
102.05B 3.0%595.57M

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • Costco Wholesale (COST) Could Be 16% Below Fair Value On DoorDash Delivery Rollout
  • DoorDash says it 'screwed up' payments to 264K NYC workers, agrees to $131.5M settlement. Most will get less than $50
  • Mamdani Targets ‘Greedy Algorithm’ of Corporations in a New Brand of Politics
  • Doordash Just Dropped 16% in a Month. Is It Time to Sell or Load Up?
  • The Real Reason Uber Won’t Complete Its Grab Takeover
  • The Morning Risk Report: Squeezed at Sea, Iran Faces New Restrictions on Its Flights
  • Why Costco has the luxury of sitting out the delivery arms race
  • DoorDash Consolidates Global Media With WPP

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Net cash 1.1B credited to value (interest stripped from owner earnings to avoid double-counting). · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-24 41 $189.27 $35.98 -81.0% N/A
2026-08-18 41 $212.72 $37.73 -82.3% N/A
2026-07-10 41 $192.35 $38.30 -80.1% N/A
2026-07-02 41 $188.87 $38.01 -79.9% N/A
2026-06-25 41 $177.93 $37.36 -79.0% N/A
2026-06-23 41 $171.52 $36.99 -78.4% N/A