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DE Deere & Company

industrial · 2026-07-23

N/A
too hard · 55
Owner-earnings value$210.93
Price$607.33
Margin of safety -65.3%

Quality gate · 55/100

Returns on capital 14.2/30
Consistency 19.7/22
Margins / pricing power 9.9/16
Balance sheet 1.1/16
Cash conversion 3.9/10
Capital allocation 5.9/6

⚠ over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 4.9x > 4x)

Median ROIC11.3%
Gross margin34.6%
Net debt / EBITDA4.9x
FCF conversion43%
Share count / yr-3.3%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)3.77B
Owner-earnings yield2.3%
Free-cash-flow yield2.3%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
13.77B 0.0%3.46B
23.78B 0.3%3.18B
33.81B 0.7%2.94B
43.84B 1.0%2.72B
53.90B 1.3%2.53B
63.96B 1.7%2.36B
74.04B 2.0%2.21B
84.13B 2.3%2.07B
94.24B 2.7%1.95B
104.37B 3.0%1.85B

Recent news

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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-07-23 55 $607.33 $210.93 -65.3% N/A
2026-07-02 55 $627.63 $210.93 -66.4% N/A
2026-06-25 55 $600.75 $210.93 -64.9% N/A
2026-06-23 55 $591.94 $210.93 -64.4% N/A