DLTR Dollar Tree
too hard · 67
Owner-earnings value$147.20
Price$114.02
Margin of safety
+29.1%
Quality gate · 67/100
⚠ unprofitable in too many years
Median ROIC14.1%
Gross margin38.7%
Net debt / EBITDA2.2x
Share count / yr-3.5%
Profitable years2/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 1.61B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 7.5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.2% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 2.9% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | -3.1% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.66B | 2.9% | 1.52B |
| 2 | 1.71B | 3.0% | 1.44B |
| 3 | 1.76B | 3.0% | 1.36B |
| 4 | 1.81B | 3.0% | 1.28B |
| 5 | 1.87B | 3.0% | 1.21B |
| 6 | 1.92B | 3.0% | 1.15B |
| 7 | 1.98B | 3.0% | 1.08B |
| 8 | 2.04B | 3.0% | 1.02B |
| 9 | 2.10B | 3.0% | 966.19M |
| 10 | 2.16B | 3.0% | 913.01M |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- Grocery chain gives up trying to beat Dollar General
- Halloween Spending Expected to Set Record. Bargain-Hunting Dominates.
- 2 S&P 500 Stocks Worth Your Attention and 1 We Find Risky
- Will Dollar Tree's Strategic Initiatives and Store Expansions Aid?
- 3 Retail Stocks Facing Margin Pressure as Consumers Trade Down
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Five Below, Dollar Tree, Kohl's, Target and The TJX Companies
- Arhaus, Sally Beauty, and Dollar Tree Stocks Trade Up, What You Need To Know
- These 4 Retail Stocks Are Winning the Race for Inflation-Weary Bargain Hunters
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-3%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 3%. Capped at market + 6pts.