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DPZ Domino's

restaurant · 2026-10-20

N/A
too hard · 82
Owner-earnings value$289.63
Price$305.42
Margin of safety -5.2%

Quality gate · 82/100

Returns on capital 30/30
Consistency 21.2/22
Margins / pricing power 11.4/16
Balance sheet 3.6/16
Cash conversion 9.8/10
Capital allocation 5.6/6

⚠ negative book equity · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 4.7x > 4x)

Median ROIC72.2%
Gross margin40.0%
Net debt / EBITDA4.7x
FCF conversion95%
Share count / yr-1.7%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)596.52M
Owner-earnings yield5.9%
Free-cash-flow yield6.5%
Growth used (normalized)2.9%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)4.2%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.4%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1613.68M 2.9%560.87M
2631.41M 2.9%527.42M
3649.75M 2.9%496.03M
4668.70M 2.9%466.57M
5688.30M 2.9%438.92M
6708.57M 2.9%412.96M
7729.54M 3.0%388.59M
8751.22M 3.0%365.71M
9773.66M 3.0%344.22M
10796.86M 3.0%324.04M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~4%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 3%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-20 82 $305.42 $289.63 -5.2% N/A
2026-10-06 82 $297.27 $280.36 -5.7% N/A
2026-09-23 82 $297.12 $297.05 -0.0% N/A
2026-09-09 82 $335.41 $304.74 -9.1% N/A
2026-08-26 82 $349.91 $307.94 -12.0% N/A
2026-08-12 82 $357.34 $307.94 -13.8% N/A
2026-07-30 82 $360.00 $307.45 -14.6% N/A
2026-07-17 82 $329.67 $303.88 -7.8% N/A
2026-07-06 82 $311.66 $303.88 -2.5% N/A
2026-07-02 82 $304.18 $303.88 -0.1% N/A
2026-06-29 82 $298.18 $303.88 +1.9% N/A
2026-06-25 82 $287.62 $303.88 +5.7% N/A
2026-06-23 82 $283.03 $303.88 +7.4% N/A