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DTE DTE Energy

utility · 2026-10-15

N/A
too hard · 30
Owner-earnings value$91.85
Price$128.31
Margin of safety -28.4%

Quality gate · 30/100

Returns on capital 1.0/30
Consistency 17.1/22
Margins / pricing power 7.4/16
Balance sheet 0.4/16
Cash conversion 0/10
Capital allocation 4.2/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%) · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 7.0x > 4x)

Median ROIC6.4%
Gross margin28.0%
Net debt / EBITDA7.0x
FCF conversion-74%
Share count / yr+0.3%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.26B
Owner-earnings yield4.7%
Free-cash-flow yield-5.6%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)8.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
11.26B 0.0%1.16B
21.27B 0.3%1.07B
31.28B 0.7%985.82M
41.29B 1.0%913.47M
51.31B 1.3%849.22M
61.33B 1.7%792.08M
71.35B 2.0%741.22M
81.39B 2.3%695.88M
91.42B 2.7%655.45M
101.47B 3.0%619.37M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~8%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-15 30 $128.31 $91.85 -28.4% N/A
2026-09-03 30 $136.05 $91.85 -32.5% N/A
2026-07-23 30 $148.55 $91.87 -38.2% N/A
2026-07-02 30 $150.57 $91.87 -39.0% N/A
2026-06-25 30 $151.10 $91.87 -39.2% N/A
2026-06-23 30 $149.19 $91.87 -38.4% N/A