EMR Emerson Electric
too hard · 58
Owner-earnings value$102.05
Price$151.81
Margin of safety
-32.8%
Quality gate · 58/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 8% < 9%)
Median ROIC8.0%
Gross margin52.7%
Net debt / EBITDA2.4x
FCF conversion41%
Share count / yr-1.6%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 3.12B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 3.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.7% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 9.3% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 19.4% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 10.2% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.40B | 9.3% | 3.09B |
| 2 | 3.70B | 8.6% | 3.04B |
| 3 | 3.99B | 7.9% | 2.98B |
| 4 | 4.27B | 7.2% | 2.89B |
| 5 | 4.55B | 6.5% | 2.80B |
| 6 | 4.82B | 5.8% | 2.68B |
| 7 | 5.06B | 5.1% | 2.56B |
| 8 | 5.28B | 4.4% | 2.42B |
| 9 | 5.48B | 3.7% | 2.28B |
| 10 | 5.64B | 3.0% | 2.13B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
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- Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~19%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 9%.