FISV Fiserv
too hard · 59
Owner-earnings value$64.99
Price$49.86
Margin of safety
+30.3%
Quality gate · 59/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 8% < 9%)
Median ROIC8.3%
Gross margin56.2%
Net debt / EBITDA3.5x
FCF conversion133%
Share count / yr-5.4%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 3.93B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 14.8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 14.8% |
| Growth used (normalized) | -10.8% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | -16.8% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.5% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.50B | -10.8% | 3.20B |
| 2 | 3.18B | -9.3% | 2.65B |
| 3 | 2.93B | -7.7% | 2.23B |
| 4 | 2.75B | -6.2% | 1.91B |
| 5 | 2.62B | -4.7% | 1.67B |
| 6 | 2.54B | -3.1% | 1.47B |
| 7 | 2.50B | -1.6% | 1.32B |
| 8 | 2.50B | -0.1% | 1.21B |
| 9 | 2.53B | 1.5% | 1.12B |
| 10 | 2.61B | 3.0% | 1.05B |
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-17%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits -11%. Capped at market + 6pts.