GPC Genuine Parts Company
too hard · 66
Owner-earnings value$21.58
Price$126.95
Margin of safety
-83.0%
Quality gate · 66/100
⚠ over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 8.2x > 4x)
Median ROIC18.3%
Gross margin36.9%
Net debt / EBITDA8.2x
FCF conversion91%
Share count / yr-0.8%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 171.67M |
| Owner-earnings yield | 1.0% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.3% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 3.2% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 25.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 177.20M | 3.2% | 162.57M |
| 2 | 182.86M | 3.2% | 153.91M |
| 3 | 188.66M | 3.2% | 145.68M |
| 4 | 194.60M | 3.1% | 137.86M |
| 5 | 200.68M | 3.1% | 130.43M |
| 6 | 206.89M | 3.1% | 123.36M |
| 7 | 213.25M | 3.1% | 116.66M |
| 8 | 219.75M | 3.0% | 110.29M |
| 9 | 226.40M | 3.0% | 104.24M |
| 10 | 233.19M | 3.0% | 98.50M |
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 3%.