HCA HCA Healthcare
too hard · 83
Owner-earnings value$498.12
Price$423.82
Margin of safety
+17.5%
Quality gate · 83/100
⚠ negative book equity
Median ROIC21.9%
Gross margin42.6%
Net debt / EBITDA3.0x
FCF conversion95%
Share count / yr-6.8%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 6.00B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 6.4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.4% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 7.9% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 3.9% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 10.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.47B | 7.9% | 5.88B |
| 2 | 6.94B | 7.3% | 5.74B |
| 3 | 7.41B | 6.8% | 5.57B |
| 4 | 7.88B | 6.2% | 5.38B |
| 5 | 8.33B | 5.7% | 5.17B |
| 6 | 8.76B | 5.2% | 4.95B |
| 7 | 9.16B | 4.6% | 4.71B |
| 8 | 9.54B | 4.1% | 4.45B |
| 9 | 9.87B | 3.5% | 4.19B |
| 10 | 10.17B | 3.0% | 3.93B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- CVS Still Sees 'High-Trend' Cost Growth; Oscar, UNH Stock Fall
- HCA Healthcare Delivers Consistent Message Around H2 Cadence Expectations, RBC Says
- The Bull Case For HCA Healthcare (HCA) Could Change Following 2026 Guidance Cut And Payer Mix Strain
- HCA Healthcare (HCA) Faces Securities Fraud Investigation With Shareholder Risks In Focus
- HCA Healthcare (HCA) Could Be 11% Below Fair Value As Guidance Gets Cut
- Charles River (CRL) Up 10.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
- Is HCA Healthcare Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?
- HCA Healthcare (HCA) Navigates Patient Volume Challenges While Reporting Growth
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~4%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 8%.