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HII Huntington Ingalls Industries

aerospace · 2026-10-27

N/A
fair · 60
Owner-earnings value$317.78
Price$281.05
Margin of safety +13.1%

Quality gate · 60/100

Returns on capital 9.1/30
Consistency 20.1/22
Margins / pricing power 5.9/16
Balance sheet 10.4/16
Cash conversion 9.1/10
Capital allocation 5.1/6
Median ROIC9.4%
Gross margin12.4%
Net debt / EBITDA1.7x
FCF conversion82%
Share count / yr-0.5%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)661.00M
Owner-earnings yield6.0%
Free-cash-flow yield-0.8%
Growth used (normalized)5.4%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)2.4%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1696.39M 5.4%638.89M
2731.84M 5.1%615.98M
3767.20M 4.8%592.42M
4802.25M 4.6%568.33M
5836.80M 4.3%543.87M
6870.66M 4.0%519.15M
7903.61M 3.8%494.31M
8935.44M 3.5%469.47M
9965.95M 3.3%444.75M
10994.93M 3.0%420.27M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~2%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 5%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-27 60 $281.05 $317.78 +13.1% N/A
2026-10-08 60 $260.67 $317.78 +21.9% N/A
2026-09-21 60 $272.86 $317.78 +16.5% N/A
2026-09-02 60 $292.42 $317.78 +8.7% N/A
2026-08-14 60 $325.76 $317.78 -2.4% N/A
2026-07-28 59 $288.25 $290.86 +0.9% N/A
2026-07-09 59 $289.47 $290.86 +0.5% N/A
2026-07-02 59 $278.97 $290.86 +4.3% N/A
2026-07-01 59 $278.97 $290.86 +4.3% N/A
2026-06-25 59 $279.62 $290.86 +4.0% N/A
2026-06-23 59 $283.48 $290.86 +2.6% N/A