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HPQ HP Inc.

technology · 2026-10-15

N/A
too hard · 81
Owner-earnings value$34.73
Price$30.46
Margin of safety +14.0%

Quality gate · 81/100

Returns on capital 30/30
Consistency 19.7/22
Margins / pricing power 6.0/16
Balance sheet 9.6/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 5.7/6

⚠ negative book equity

Median ROIC42.5%
Gross margin19.9%
Net debt / EBITDA1.7x
FCF conversion108%
Share count / yr-2.0%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)2.59B
Owner-earnings yield9.4%
Free-cash-flow yield14.1%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)-3.2%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)10.5%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
12.59B 0.0%2.35B
22.60B 0.3%2.13B
32.62B 0.7%1.94B
42.65B 1.0%1.77B
52.68B 1.3%1.62B
62.73B 1.7%1.49B
72.78B 2.0%1.38B
82.85B 2.3%1.28B
92.92B 2.7%1.19B
103.01B 3.0%1.10B

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-3%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-15 81 $30.46 $34.73 +14.0% N/A
2026-09-03 81 $31.99 $38.43 +20.1% N/A
2026-07-24 81 $24.51 $31.63 +29.0% N/A
2026-07-02 81 $22.02 $28.56 +29.7% N/A
2026-06-25 81 $23.29 $30.20 +29.7% N/A
2026-06-23 81 $23.67 $39.80 +68.1% N/A