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IBKR Interactive Brokers

capital_markets · valued with sonnet medium conviction · 2026-07-22

HOLD
wonderful · 82 ▟ wide moat circle of competence: in ✓ would own for a decade trend up · +25.7% vs 200-DMA
Owner-earnings value$17.40
Price$94.42
Margin of safety -81.6%

Best-in-class low-cost brokerage moat and founder discipline, but priced well ahead of normalized earnings power.

The business

IBKR operates a highly automated electronic brokerage platform serving individual and institutional traders across 150+ markets. It earns commissions on trades, net interest income on margin loans and customer cash balances, and market-data/other fees, all delivered through proprietary low-cost technology with minimal human intervention.

Quality gate · 82/100

Returns on capital 24.2/30
Consistency 20.6/22
Margins / pricing power 16/16
Balance sheet 14.5/16
Cash conversion 5.0/10
Capital allocation 1.9/6
Median ROE17.2%
Gross margin90.1%
FCF conversion1207%
Share count / yr+2.7%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Moat ▟ wide moat
Sourcecost advantage
Trajectorywidening
Managementexcellent

Decades of investment in a single automated technology stack let IBKR run at ~88% operating margins while undercutting full-service and even many discount brokers on fees; this cost gap compounds as scale grows and competitors with legacy/manual infrastructure or bank-cost-structures cannot easily replicate it. Global account growth and expanding product breadth (options, futures, crypto, international access) reinforce switching costs and liquidity/network effects over time.

Founder-led by Thomas Peterffy with a multi-decade record of reinvesting in the technology platform, keeping costs low, and passing savings to customers to compound account growth rather than maximizing near-term take rate; capital allocation has been disciplined with minimal dilution (2.7% share CAGR) relative to growth achieved.

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.04B
Owner-earnings yield0.6%
Free-cash-flow yield10.5%
Growth used (normalized)10.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)10.6%

Key risks

  • Net interest income is heavily levered to the rate cycle; a return to near-zero rates would compress current earnings materially
  • Trading/commission revenue and margin balances are cyclical and sensitive to market volatility and risk appetite
  • Regulatory or competitive fee compression (zero-commission pressure, payment-for-order-flow scrutiny) could erode take rates
  • Key-person concentration risk given Peterffy's continued central role and large economic interest in the operating LLC structure
  • Reported net income reflects only IBKR Group's minority economic interest in the operating LLC, making headline owner-earnings figures easy to misread

Catalysts

  • Continued double-digit growth in funded accounts, especially international and younger demographics
  • Expansion into new products (crypto, prediction markets, additional global market access) widening the platform's utility
  • Operating leverage as fixed technology costs are spread over a still-growing account and asset base

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • Dow Jones Futures: S&P 500 Regains 50-Day As Sandisk, Micron Soar; Google, Tesla Earnings Due
  • Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenues and ...
  • Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  • Interactive Brokers Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
  • Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
  • Interactive Brokers Earnings Surge Amid Trading Boom, Matching Charles Schwab
  • Interactive Brokers Earnings Reveal $1.90B Revenue, How Will IBKR Stock React?
  • Update: Potential Middle East Ceasefire Lifts US Equity Futures Pre-Bell

⚠ financial — owner earnings ≈ net income · financial — valued by residual income (ROE vs cost of equity on book equity) · Extreme gap to market price — large, well-covered names are rarely mispriced this much; likely embeds risk the model underweights. A flag, not a verdict. · Rich vs our conservative value, but a quality business is not a short — stance is WAIT for a better price, not sell.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-28 82 $82.25 $16.21 -80.3% HOLD
2026-10-27 82 $80.59 $16.21 -79.9% HOLD
2026-10-26 82 $80.28 $16.21 -79.8% HOLD
2026-10-23 82 $82.28 $16.21 -80.3% HOLD
2026-10-22 82 $85.33 $16.21 -81.0% HOLD
2026-10-21 82 $82.91 $16.21 -80.5% HOLD
2026-10-20 82 $81.35 $16.21 -80.1% HOLD
2026-10-19 82 $82.69 $16.21 -80.4% HOLD
2026-10-16 82 $86.03 $16.21 -81.2% HOLD
2026-10-15 82 $84.14 $16.21 -80.7% HOLD
2026-10-14 82 $87.49 $16.21 -81.5% HOLD
2026-10-13 82 $87.89 $16.21 -81.6% HOLD
2026-10-12 82 $87.87 $16.21 -81.6% HOLD
2026-10-09 82 $86.47 $16.21 -81.3% HOLD
2026-10-08 82 $87.74 $16.21 -81.5% HOLD
2026-10-07 82 $90.58 $16.21 -82.1% HOLD
2026-10-06 82 $89.05 $16.21 -81.8% HOLD
2026-10-05 82 $88.30 $16.99 -80.8% HOLD
2026-10-02 82 $85.81 $16.99 -80.2% HOLD
2026-10-01 82 $85.42 $16.99 -80.1% HOLD
2026-09-30 82 $86.18 $16.99 -80.3% HOLD
2026-09-29 82 $87.08 $16.99 -80.5% HOLD
2026-09-28 82 $89.24 $16.99 -81.0% HOLD
2026-09-25 82 $89.82 $16.99 -81.1% HOLD
2026-09-24 82 $91.56 $16.99 -81.4% HOLD
2026-09-23 82 $93.21 $16.99 -81.8% HOLD
2026-09-22 82 $93.21 $16.99 -81.8% HOLD
2026-09-21 82 $90.69 $16.99 -81.3% HOLD
2026-09-18 82 $88.38 $16.99 -80.8% HOLD
2026-09-17 82 $86.74 $16.99 -80.4% HOLD
2026-09-16 82 $88.80 $16.99 -80.9% HOLD
2026-09-15 82 $90.75 $16.99 -81.3% HOLD
2026-09-14 82 $91.37 $16.99 -81.4% HOLD
2026-09-11 82 $89.42 $16.99 -81.0% HOLD
2026-09-10 82 $90.28 $16.99 -81.2% HOLD
2026-09-09 82 $90.97 $16.99 -81.3% HOLD
2026-09-08 82 $92.62 $16.99 -81.7% HOLD
2026-09-07 82 $92.62 $16.99 -81.7% HOLD
2026-09-04 82 $92.95 $16.99 -81.7% HOLD
2026-09-03 82 $89.12 $16.99 -80.9% HOLD
2026-09-02 82 $90.39 $16.99 -81.2% HOLD
2026-09-01 82 $97.29 $16.99 -82.5% HOLD
2026-08-31 82 $95.84 $16.99 -82.3% HOLD
2026-08-28 82 $96.55 $16.99 -82.4% HOLD
2026-08-27 82 $97.02 $17.40 -82.1% HOLD
2026-08-26 82 $98.19 $17.40 -82.3% HOLD
2026-08-25 82 $93.05 $17.40 -81.3% HOLD
2026-08-24 82 $93.87 $17.40 -81.5% HOLD
2026-08-21 82 $89.85 $17.40 -80.6% HOLD
2026-08-20 82 $90.54 $17.40 -80.8% HOLD
2026-08-19 82 $90.56 $17.40 -80.8% HOLD
2026-08-18 82 $92.06 $17.40 -81.1% HOLD
2026-08-17 82 $92.06 $17.40 -81.1% HOLD
2026-08-14 82 $91.42 $17.40 -81.0% HOLD
2026-08-13 82 $91.66 $17.40 -81.0% HOLD
2026-08-12 82 $89.78 $17.40 -80.6% HOLD
2026-08-11 82 $90.66 $17.40 -80.8% HOLD
2026-08-10 82 $87.83 $17.40 -80.2% HOLD
2026-08-07 82 $86.02 $17.40 -79.8% HOLD
2026-08-06 82 $88.74 $17.40 -80.4% HOLD
2026-08-05 82 $88.63 $17.40 -80.4% HOLD
2026-08-04 82 $87.99 $17.40 -80.2% HOLD
2026-08-03 82 $87.99 $17.40 -80.2% HOLD
2026-07-31 82 $90.48 $17.40 -80.8% HOLD
2026-07-30 82 $86.26 $17.40 -79.8% HOLD
2026-07-29 82 $92.27 $17.40 -81.1% HOLD
2026-07-28 82 $92.27 $17.40 -81.1% HOLD
2026-07-27 82 $91.76 $17.40 -81.0% HOLD
2026-07-24 82 $91.76 $17.40 -81.0% HOLD
2026-07-23 82 $93.50 $17.40 -81.4% HOLD
2026-07-22 82 $94.42 $17.40 -81.6% HOLD
2026-07-21 82 $91.68 $17.22 -81.2% HOLD
2026-07-20 82 $90.53 $17.22 -81.0% HOLD
2026-07-17 82 $92.21 $17.22 -81.3% HOLD
2026-07-16 82 $97.41 $17.22 -82.3% HOLD
2026-07-15 82 $93.56 $17.22 -81.6% HOLD
2026-07-14 82 $93.56 $17.22 -81.6% HOLD
2026-07-13 82 $94.09 $17.22 -81.7% HOLD
2026-07-10 82 $95.28 $17.22 -81.9% HOLD
2026-07-09 82 $93.40 $17.22 -81.6% HOLD
2026-07-08 82 $94.57 $17.22 -81.8% HOLD
2026-07-07 82 $95.99 $17.22 -82.1% HOLD
2026-07-06 82 $91.33 $17.22 -81.1% HOLD
2026-07-03 82 $91.33 $17.22 -81.1% HOLD
2026-07-02 82 $93.25 $17.22 -81.5% HOLD
2026-06-25 85 $92.79 $17.30 -81.4% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23 85 $94.70 $17.20 -81.8% STRONG SELL