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KMB Kimberly-Clark

consumer_staples · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · 2026-09-01

HOLD
wonderful · 82 no moat circle of competence: edge trend up · +6.2% vs 200-DMA
Owner-earnings value$99.55
Price$107.95
Margin of safety -7.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.

Quality gate · 82/100

Returns on capital 26.8/30
Consistency 20.2/22
Margins / pricing power 10.5/16
Balance sheet 9.8/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 5.1/6
Median ROIC19.8%
Gross margin36.8%
Net debt / EBITDA2.1x
FCF conversion106%
Share count / yr-0.6%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Moat no moat
Trajectorystable
Managementadequate

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.82B
Owner-earnings yield5.1%
Free-cash-flow yield5.1%
Growth used (normalized)4.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)5.4%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
11.89B 4.0%1.74B
21.97B 3.9%1.66B
32.04B 3.9%1.58B
42.12B 3.8%1.50B
52.20B 3.7%1.43B
62.28B 3.6%1.36B
72.36B 3.6%1.29B
82.44B 3.5%1.23B
92.53B 3.4%1.16B
102.61B 3.4%1.10B
112.70B 3.3%1.05B
122.78B 3.2%989.95M
132.87B 3.1%936.76M
142.96B 3.1%885.81M
153.05B 3.0%837.05M

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • 4 Battle-Tested Consumer Staples Stocks That Keep Raising Their Dividends
  • Is P&G Stock Worth Buying as Growth Slows and Valuation Stays Rich?
  • This Dividend King Just Offered a Buy-the-Dip Opportunity
  • Kimberly Clark (KMB) Names New Legal Chief As Kenvue Deal Puts Valuation In Focus
  • Kimberly Clark (KMB) Stock Looks Below Fair Value While Earnings Lag
  • Can Kimberly-Clark's Productivity Offset Inflationary Pressures?
  • How Much Do You Need Invested by 55 to Retire on Dividends at 65?
  • How Much Do You Need Invested to Out-Earn the Average American Household Income With Dividends?

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~5%/yr owner-earnings growth over 15y (reverse DCF); model credits 4%. · growth/moat reused from the 2026-07-23 deep dive (claude-sub-sonnet).

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-28 82 $109.10 $78.95 -27.6% HOLD
2026-10-27 82 $109.63 $78.95 -28.0% HOLD
2026-10-26 82 $110.15 $78.95 -28.3% HOLD
2026-10-23 82 $112.32 $78.95 -29.7% HOLD
2026-10-22 82 $106.64 $78.95 -26.0% HOLD
2026-10-21 82 $108.33 $78.95 -27.1% HOLD
2026-10-20 82 $105.41 $78.95 -25.1% HOLD
2026-10-19 82 $105.57 $78.95 -25.2% HOLD
2026-10-16 82 $104.07 $78.95 -24.1% HOLD
2026-10-15 82 $99.41 $78.95 -20.6% HOLD
2026-10-14 82 $98.29 $78.95 -19.7% HOLD
2026-10-13 82 $98.77 $78.95 -20.1% HOLD
2026-10-12 82 $97.59 $78.95 -19.1% HOLD
2026-10-09 82 $97.74 $78.95 -19.2% HOLD
2026-10-08 82 $96.48 $99.55 +3.2% HOLD
2026-10-07 82 $96.77 $99.55 +2.9% HOLD
2026-10-06 82 $95.41 $99.55 +4.3% HOLD
2026-10-05 82 $94.36 $99.55 +5.5% HOLD
2026-10-02 82 $94.34 $99.55 +5.5% HOLD
2026-10-01 82 $97.43 $99.55 +2.2% HOLD
2026-09-30 82 $98.99 $99.55 +0.6% HOLD
2026-09-29 82 $98.77 $99.55 +0.8% HOLD
2026-09-28 82 $98.43 $99.55 +1.1% HOLD
2026-09-25 82 $97.22 $99.55 +2.4% HOLD
2026-09-24 82 $97.70 $99.55 +1.9% HOLD
2026-09-23 82 $97.74 $99.55 +1.9% HOLD
2026-09-22 82 $97.74 $99.55 +1.9% HOLD
2026-09-21 82 $97.86 $99.55 +1.7% HOLD
2026-09-18 82 $98.19 $99.55 +1.4% HOLD
2026-09-17 82 $98.10 $99.55 +1.5% HOLD
2026-09-16 82 $98.68 $99.55 +0.9% HOLD
2026-09-15 82 $99.09 $99.55 +0.5% HOLD
2026-09-14 82 $98.15 $99.55 +1.4% HOLD
2026-09-11 82 $98.48 $99.55 +1.1% HOLD
2026-09-10 82 $98.70 $99.55 +0.9% HOLD
2026-09-09 82 $102.93 $99.55 -3.3% HOLD
2026-09-08 82 $104.96 $99.55 -5.2% HOLD
2026-09-07 82 $104.96 $99.55 -5.2% HOLD
2026-09-04 82 $107.95 $99.55 -7.8% HOLD
2026-09-03 82 $109.29 $99.55 -8.9% HOLD
2026-09-02 82 $107.08 $99.55 -7.0% HOLD
2026-09-01 82 $107.95 $99.55 -7.8% HOLD
2026-08-31 82 $109.55 $100.68 -8.1% HOLD
2026-08-28 82 $109.98 $100.68 -8.5% HOLD
2026-08-27 82 $110.34 $100.68 -8.8% HOLD
2026-08-26 82 $111.02 $100.68 -9.3% HOLD
2026-08-25 82 $111.37 $100.68 -9.6% HOLD
2026-08-24 82 $109.31 $100.68 -7.9% HOLD
2026-08-21 82 $108.69 $100.68 -7.4% HOLD
2026-08-20 82 $109.88 $100.68 -8.4% HOLD
2026-08-19 82 $107.72 $100.68 -6.5% HOLD
2026-08-18 82 $110.39 $100.68 -8.8% HOLD
2026-08-17 82 $110.39 $100.68 -8.8% HOLD
2026-08-14 82 $110.70 $100.68 -9.1% HOLD
2026-08-13 82 $108.93 $100.68 -7.6% HOLD
2026-08-12 82 $108.57 $100.68 -7.3% HOLD
2026-08-11 82 $108.02 $100.68 -6.8% HOLD
2026-08-10 82 $109.68 $100.68 -8.2% HOLD
2026-08-07 82 $108.66 $100.68 -7.3% HOLD
2026-08-06 82 $112.37 $100.68 -10.4% HOLD
2026-08-05 82 $111.57 $100.68 -9.8% HOLD
2026-08-04 82 $109.31 $100.68 -7.9% HOLD
2026-08-03 82 $109.31 $100.68 -7.9% HOLD
2026-07-31 82 $110.19 $100.68 -8.6% HOLD
2026-07-30 82 $113.21 $100.68 -11.1% HOLD
2026-07-29 82 $111.44 $100.68 -9.7% HOLD
2026-07-28 82 $111.44 $100.68 -9.7% HOLD
2026-07-27 82 $107.31 $100.68 -6.2% HOLD
2026-07-24 82 $107.31 $100.68 -6.2% HOLD
2026-07-23 82 $108.88 $100.68 -7.5% HOLD
2026-07-22 82 $108.05 $79.84 -26.1% HOLD
2026-07-21 82 $108.48 $79.84 -26.4% HOLD
2026-07-20 82 $108.35 $79.84 -26.3% HOLD
2026-07-17 82 $108.99 $79.84 -26.7% HOLD
2026-07-16 82 $106.53 $79.84 -25.1% HOLD
2026-07-15 82 $110.18 $79.84 -27.5% HOLD
2026-07-14 82 $110.18 $79.84 -27.5% HOLD
2026-07-13 82 $112.41 $79.84 -29.0% HOLD
2026-07-10 82 $109.93 $79.84 -27.4% HOLD
2026-07-09 82 $110.98 $79.84 -28.1% HOLD
2026-07-08 82 $114.74 $79.84 -30.4% HOLD
2026-07-07 82 $113.01 $79.84 -29.4% HOLD
2026-07-06 82 $114.72 $79.84 -30.4% HOLD
2026-07-03 82 $114.72 $79.84 -30.4% HOLD
2026-07-02 82 $111.44 $79.84 -28.4% HOLD
2026-06-25 82 $106.73 $83.68 -21.6% SELL
2026-06-23 82 $103.95 $83.68 -19.5% SELL