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KR Kroger

consumer_staples · 2026-10-12

N/A
fair · 63
Owner-earnings value$27.78
Price$61.64
Margin of safety -54.9%

Quality gate · 63/100

Returns on capital 18.2/30
Consistency 19.3/22
Margins / pricing power 6.9/16
Balance sheet 2.3/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 6/6
Median ROIC13.1%
Gross margin23.1%
Net debt / EBITDA3.7x
FCF conversion118%
Share count / yr-4.9%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.08B
Owner-earnings yield3.0%
Free-cash-flow yield6.5%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)19.5%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
11.08B 0.0%995.41M
21.09B 0.3%916.27M
31.10B 0.7%846.22M
41.11B 1.0%784.11M
51.12B 1.3%728.96M
61.14B 1.7%679.91M
71.16B 2.0%636.25M
81.19B 2.3%597.34M
91.22B 2.7%562.63M
101.26B 3.0%531.66M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~19%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-12 63 $61.64 $27.78 -54.9% N/A
2026-09-02 62 $57.94 $25.99 -55.1% N/A
2026-07-24 62 $55.76 $25.99 -53.4% N/A
2026-07-02 62 $56.24 $25.99 -53.8% N/A
2026-06-25 62 $58.48 $26.66 -54.4% N/A
2026-06-23 62 $57.05 $26.66 -53.3% N/A