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MLM Martin Marietta Materials

materials · 2026-10-27

N/A
too hard · 53
Owner-earnings value$151.01
Price$503.92
Margin of safety -70.0%

Quality gate · 53/100

Returns on capital 7.2/30
Consistency 19.0/22
Margins / pricing power 8.0/16
Balance sheet 7.4/16
Cash conversion 6.0/10
Capital allocation 5.5/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 9% < 9%)

Median ROIC8.7%
Gross margin28.2%
Net debt / EBITDA2.7x
FCF conversion57%
Share count / yr-1.0%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)810.00M
Owner-earnings yield2.3%
Free-cash-flow yield2.3%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.9%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1810.00M 0.0%737.24M
2812.70M 0.3%673.26M
3818.12M 0.7%616.87M
4826.30M 1.0%567.08M
5837.32M 1.3%523.03M
6851.27M 1.7%483.98M
7868.30M 2.0%449.32M
8888.56M 2.3%418.50M
9912.25M 2.7%391.07M
10939.62M 3.0%366.62M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-27 53 $503.92 $151.01 -70.0% N/A
2026-09-25 53 $480.10 $145.85 -69.6% N/A
2026-08-25 53 $533.11 $155.17 -70.9% N/A
2026-07-23 54 $550.66 $236.70 -57.0% N/A
2026-07-02 54 $579.24 $243.11 -58.0% N/A
2026-06-25 54 $616.62 $245.85 -60.1% N/A
2026-06-23 54 $604.18 $242.44 -59.9% N/A