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MRNA Moderna

pharma · 2026-09-25

N/A
too hard · 24
Owner-earnings value—
Price$194.82
Margin of safety —

Quality gate · 24/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 2.5/22
Margins / pricing power 5.6/16
Balance sheet 9.1/16
Cash conversion 3.3/10
Capital allocation 3.7/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic -24% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years

Median ROIC-23.9%
Gross margin22.8%
Share count / yr+0.8%
Profitable years1/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)-3.08B
Owner-earnings yield-4.0%
Free-cash-flow yield-1.6%
Growth used (normalized)—
Terminal growth—
Discount rate (hurdle)—

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • Moderna Stock Jumped 7% Thursday. The Real Test Comes at ESMO on October 24.
  • MRNA On Track To Be September's No. 2 S&P 500 Stock — But These 5 Smaller Health Care Names Did Even Better
  • Moderna Inc. (MRNA) Holds High-Level Investment Talks With UAE, Soars to 4-Year Peak
  • From $63 To $195: Moderna’s Two-Month Rerating Isn’t Done
  • Moderna's View of the Global Pharma Industry
  • Why Did META, MRNA, OKTA Stocks Surge To 52-Week Highs Today?
  • Moderna Stock Hits a New High as CEO Says It’s More Than Covid Vaccines
  • These 2 Stocks Are Bucking The Broader Market Selloff To Hit New Multi-Year Highs — Here’s What’s Driving The Enthusiasm

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · non-positive owner earnings — cannot value as a going wonderful business

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-25 24 $194.82 — — N/A
2026-08-24 24 $145.13 — — N/A
2026-07-22 24 $59.66 — — N/A
2026-07-02 24 $72.50 — — N/A
2026-06-25 24 $60.42 — — N/A
2026-06-23 24 $61.00 — — N/A