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MRVL Marvell Technology

semiconductor · 2026-10-09

N/A
too hard · 48
Owner-earnings value$22.85
Price$274.66
Margin of safety -91.7%

Quality gate · 48/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 5.5/22
Margins / pricing power 13.7/16
Balance sheet 13.8/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 4.8/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic -1% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years

Median ROIC-0.7%
Gross margin52.2%
Net debt / EBITDA0.5x
FCF conversion708%
Share count / yr-0.4%
Profitable years1/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.72B
Owner-earnings yield0.7%
Free-cash-flow yield0.7%
Growth used (normalized)10.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)14.2%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
11.90B 10.0%1.66B
22.07B 9.2%1.59B
32.24B 8.4%1.51B
42.42B 7.7%1.42B
52.58B 6.9%1.33B
62.74B 6.1%1.23B
72.89B 5.3%1.14B
83.02B 4.6%1.04B
93.13B 3.8%945.98M
103.23B 3.0%852.97M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-09 48 $274.66 $22.85 -91.7% N/A
2026-09-11 48 $226.96 $23.48 -89.7% N/A
2026-08-14 48 $222.18 $23.35 -89.5% N/A
2026-07-17 48 $188.30 $23.52 -87.5% N/A
2026-07-02 48 $272.05 $24.34 -91.1% N/A
2026-06-25 48 $276.70 $24.52 -91.1% N/A
2026-06-23 48 $279.04 $24.30 -91.3% N/A