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MU Micron Technology

semiconductor · 2026-10-12

N/A
too hard · 44
Owner-earnings value$243.63
Price$1,029.00
Margin of safety -76.3%

Quality gate · 44/100

Returns on capital 5.9/30
Consistency 7.5/22
Margins / pricing power 12.8/16
Balance sheet 14.5/16
Cash conversion 0/10
Capital allocation 3.7/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 8% < 9%)

Median ROIC8.2%
Gross margin72.6%
Net debt / EBITDA0.1x
FCF conversion-10%
Share count / yr+0.9%
Profitable years3/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)26.17B
Owner-earnings yield2.2%
Free-cash-flow yield2.2%
Growth used (normalized)6.7%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)14.2%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
127.93B 6.7%24.45B
229.69B 6.3%22.75B
331.44B 5.9%21.08B
433.16B 5.5%19.47B
534.84B 5.1%17.90B
636.46B 4.7%16.40B
738.00B 4.2%14.96B
839.46B 3.8%13.60B
940.80B 3.4%12.31B
1042.03B 3.0%11.10B

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 7%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-12 44 $1,029.00 $243.63 -76.3% N/A
2026-09-14 44 $975.26 $250.23 -74.3% N/A
2026-08-17 44 $971.66 $256.95 -73.6% N/A
2026-07-20 44 $848.95 $260.84 -69.3% N/A
2026-07-02 44 $1,032.28 $262.53 -74.6% N/A
2026-06-25 43 $1,048.51 $104.03 -90.1% N/A
2026-06-23 43 $1,051.77 $103.10 -90.2% N/A