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NEE NextEra Energy

utility · 2026-09-17

N/A
too hard · 39
Owner-earnings value$32.68
Price$80.37
Margin of safety -59.3%

Quality gate · 39/100

Returns on capital 0.4/30
Consistency 17.9/22
Margins / pricing power 14.9/16
Balance sheet 0.4/16
Cash conversion 2.1/10
Capital allocation 2.9/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%) · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 5.2x > 4x)

Median ROIC6.2%
Gross margin61.0%
Net debt / EBITDA5.2x
FCF conversion33%
Share count / yr+1.6%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)3.05B
Owner-earnings yield1.8%
Free-cash-flow yield1.8%
Growth used (normalized)9.4%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
13.33B 9.4%3.06B
23.62B 8.7%3.05B
33.91B 8.0%3.02B
44.19B 7.2%2.97B
54.47B 6.5%2.90B
64.73B 5.8%2.82B
74.97B 5.1%2.72B
85.19B 4.4%2.60B
95.38B 3.7%2.48B
105.54B 3.0%2.34B

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • CEG Stock Trails Industry in 6 Months: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell?
  • NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock Looks Fairly Priced As Merger Approval Looms Large
  • How a Trade Deal With Japan Could Change the Face of U.S. Energy
  • This Quiet Utility Has a Multi-Decade Dividend Growth Streak -- Here's Why Almost Nobody Talks About It
  • Is PG&E Stock Cheap, Or Just Waiting On California?
  • NextEra and Dominion Sweeten Merger Deal With Bill Credits and New Jobs
  • Energy giants seeking to merge say they'll extend Virginia residents' bill credits and add jobs
  • Sector Update: Energy Stocks Fall Monday

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 9%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-17 39 $80.37 $32.68 -59.3% N/A
2026-08-06 39 $85.91 $32.68 -62.0% N/A
2026-07-02 38 $86.37 $25.33 -70.7% N/A
2026-06-25 38 $87.62 $25.33 -71.1% N/A
2026-06-23 38 $86.43 $25.33 -70.7% N/A