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NRG NRG Energy

utility · 2026-09-21

N/A
too hard · 43
Owner-earnings value$18.81
Price$103.66
Margin of safety -81.9%

Quality gate · 43/100

Returns on capital 11.8/30
Consistency 12.9/22
Margins / pricing power 4.6/16
Balance sheet 1.5/16
Cash conversion 6.0/10
Capital allocation 6/6
Median ROIC10.4%
Gross margin18.8%
Net debt / EBITDA3.8x
FCF conversion57%
Share count / yr-6.0%
Profitable years3/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)316.00M
Owner-earnings yield1.5%
Free-cash-flow yield1.5%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)25.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)10.3%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1316.00M 0.0%286.55M
2317.05M 0.3%260.72M
3319.17M 0.7%238.00M
4322.36M 1.0%217.98M
5326.66M 1.3%200.30M
6332.10M 1.7%184.66M
7338.74M 2.0%170.80M
8346.65M 2.3%158.50M
9355.89M 2.7%147.56M
10366.57M 3.0%137.82M

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why
  • The Nuclear Stock Boom Could Keep Decaying
  • Clearway Energy (CWEN) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know
  • Vistra’s Price Has Edged Downward Throught 2026: One Analyst Says It’s Due to Double Soon.
  • NRG Energy (NRG) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why
  • Can CEG's Expanding Generation Portfolio Drive Long-Term Growth?
  • NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
  • Should You Buy Vistra Stock For Its Shrinking Share Count?

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-21 43 $103.66 $18.81 -81.9% N/A
2026-08-10 43 $118.13 $19.34 -83.6% N/A
2026-07-02 41 $140.80 $14.83 -89.5% N/A
2026-06-25 41 $142.21 $14.99 -89.5% N/A
2026-06-23 41 $137.66 $14.79 -89.3% N/A