OXY Occidental Petroleum
too hard · 50
Owner-earnings value$71.65
Price$55.32
Margin of safety
+29.5%
Quality gate · 50/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 7% < 9%)
Median ROIC7.1%
Gross margin44.0%
Net debt / EBITDA1.5x
FCF conversion121%
Share count / yr+3.1%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 4.79B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 8.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.7% |
| Growth used (normalized) | -0.3% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | -6.3% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.78B | -0.3% | 4.39B |
| 2 | 4.78B | 0.1% | 4.03B |
| 3 | 4.81B | 0.5% | 3.71B |
| 4 | 4.84B | 0.8% | 3.43B |
| 5 | 4.90B | 1.2% | 3.19B |
| 6 | 4.98B | 1.5% | 2.97B |
| 7 | 5.07B | 1.9% | 2.77B |
| 8 | 5.19B | 2.3% | 2.60B |
| 9 | 5.32B | 2.6% | 2.45B |
| 10 | 5.48B | 3.0% | 2.32B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
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- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
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- Investors Heavily Search Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY): Here is What You Need to Know
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-6%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits -0%. Capped at market + 6pts.