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PCAR Paccar

industrial · 2026-09-09

N/A
fair · 61
Owner-earnings value$69.88
Price$122.50
Margin of safety -43.0%

Quality gate · 61/100

Returns on capital 15.0/30
Consistency 18.7/22
Margins / pricing power 5.7/16
Balance sheet 9.3/16
Cash conversion 8.2/10
Capital allocation 4.3/6
Median ROIC11.6%
Gross margin16.5%
Net debt / EBITDA2.6x
FCF conversion74%
Share count / yr+0.2%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)2.50B
Owner-earnings yield3.9%
Free-cash-flow yield4.6%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)13.6%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.2%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
12.50B 0.0%2.29B
22.51B 0.3%2.11B
32.53B 0.7%1.94B
42.55B 1.0%1.80B
52.59B 1.3%1.67B
62.63B 1.7%1.55B
72.68B 2.0%1.45B
82.75B 2.3%1.36B
92.82B 2.7%1.28B
102.90B 3.0%1.21B

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • A Look Back at Heavy Transportation Equipment Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: PACCAR (NASDAQ:PCAR) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
  • Is PACCAR Stock Outperforming the S&P 500?
  • CAT Has Left Its Peers Behind. Or Has It?
  • Paccar (PCAR) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why
  • That Dip In Caterpillar Stock Looks Tempting, But Don't Ignore The Catch
  • Can CAT Stock Compound Its Way Higher?
  • Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging PACCAR (PCAR) This Year?
  • PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Could Be Below Fair Value Despite Strong Returns

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~14%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-09 61 $122.50 $69.88 -43.0% N/A
2026-07-02 61 $121.24 $71.14 -41.3% N/A
2026-06-25 61 $117.03 $71.14 -39.2% N/A
2026-06-23 61 $116.78 $71.14 -39.1% N/A