PCG PG&E Corporation
too hard · 28
Owner-earnings value$16.74
Price$12.94
Margin of safety
+29.3%
Quality gate · 28/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 5% < 9%) · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 5.7x > 4x)
Median ROIC5.1%
Gross margin39.8%
Net debt / EBITDA5.7x
FCF conversion-175%
Share count / yr+3.4%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 3.17B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 8.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -11.0% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 1.1% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | -4.9% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.20B | 1.1% | 2.94B |
| 2 | 3.25B | 1.3% | 2.73B |
| 3 | 3.30B | 1.6% | 2.54B |
| 4 | 3.35B | 1.8% | 2.38B |
| 5 | 3.42B | 2.0% | 2.22B |
| 6 | 3.49B | 2.2% | 2.08B |
| 7 | 3.58B | 2.4% | 1.96B |
| 8 | 3.67B | 2.6% | 1.84B |
| 9 | 3.77B | 2.8% | 1.74B |
| 10 | 3.89B | 3.0% | 1.64B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- I'm Watching PG&E Closely, but Here's Why I Haven't Bought the Dip
- Microgrid Investments And Dividend Payouts Might Change The Case For Investing In PG&E (PCG)
- PG&E (PCG) Commits $73 Million To Community Microgrids In New Funding Phase
- PG&E (PCG) Dividend Reaffirmed Following Selloff While Valuation Debate Deepens
- PG&E (PCG) Stock Fair Value Edges Lower As Analysts Split On Wildfire Risk
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Exelon, PG&E and Centuri
- 3 Utility Stocks to Track as Fed Delivers First Rate Hike Since 2023
- Is PG&E Stock Cheap, Or Just Waiting On California?
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-5%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 1%. Capped at market + 6pts.