PNW Pinnacle West Capital
too hard · 32
Owner-earnings value$108.40
Price$92.05
Margin of safety
+17.8%
Quality gate · 32/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 5% < 9%) · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 6.4x > 4x)
Median ROIC5.4%
Gross margin41.8%
Net debt / EBITDA6.4x
FCF conversion-116%
Share count / yr+2.2%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 640.11M |
| Owner-earnings yield | 5.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -7.9% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 7.3% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 3.4% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 686.73M | 7.3% | 630.03M |
| 2 | 733.49M | 6.8% | 617.36M |
| 3 | 779.94M | 6.3% | 602.26M |
| 4 | 825.61M | 5.9% | 584.89M |
| 5 | 870.04M | 5.4% | 565.46M |
| 6 | 912.70M | 4.9% | 544.22M |
| 7 | 953.12M | 4.4% | 521.39M |
| 8 | 990.79M | 4.0% | 497.24M |
| 9 | 1.03B | 3.5% | 472.04M |
| 10 | 1.06B | 3.0% | 446.06M |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~3%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 7%.