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RTX RTX Corporation

aerospace · 2026-10-16

N/A
too hard · 50
Owner-earnings value$150.13
Price$186.95
Margin of safety -19.7%

Quality gate · 50/100

Returns on capital 0.3/30
Consistency 19.2/22
Margins / pricing power 6.0/16
Balance sheet 9.1/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 5.8/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%)

Median ROIC6.1%
Gross margin20.3%
Net debt / EBITDA2.0x
FCF conversion103%
Share count / yr-2.9%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)8.92B
Owner-earnings yield3.5%
Free-cash-flow yield4.4%
Growth used (normalized)9.7%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)15.1%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
19.78B 9.7%8.98B
210.66B 9.0%8.97B
311.54B 8.2%8.91B
412.40B 7.5%8.79B
513.24B 6.7%8.60B
614.03B 6.0%8.37B
714.77B 5.2%8.08B
815.43B 4.5%7.74B
916.01B 3.7%7.37B
1016.49B 3.0%6.96B

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~15%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-16 50 $186.95 $150.13 -19.7% N/A
2026-09-29 50 $187.66 $150.13 -20.0% N/A
2026-09-10 50 $197.55 $150.13 -24.0% N/A
2026-08-24 50 $209.91 $150.13 -28.5% N/A
2026-08-05 50 $217.93 $150.13 -31.1% N/A
2026-07-17 50 $194.36 $134.31 -30.9% N/A
2026-07-02 50 $191.78 $134.31 -30.0% N/A
2026-06-25 50 $185.06 $134.31 -27.4% N/A
2026-06-23 50 $186.39 $134.31 -27.9% N/A