SKYD Skydance Corporation
too hard · 19
Owner-earnings value$1.20
Price$9.16
Margin of safety
-86.9%
Quality gate · 19/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 2% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years
Median ROIC1.9%
Gross margin33.3%
Net debt / EBITDA3.9x
Share count / yr+19.5%
Profitable years2/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 591.00M |
| Owner-earnings yield | 1.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.3% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 0.7% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 25.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 12.2% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 595.29M | 0.7% | 530.55M |
| 2 | 601.11M | 1.0% | 477.49M |
| 3 | 608.52M | 1.2% | 430.80M |
| 4 | 617.55M | 1.5% | 389.65M |
| 5 | 628.27M | 1.7% | 353.31M |
| 6 | 640.77M | 2.0% | 321.15M |
| 7 | 655.13M | 2.2% | 292.64M |
| 8 | 671.48M | 2.5% | 267.33M |
| 9 | 689.92M | 2.7% | 244.80M |
| 10 | 710.62M | 3.0% | 224.73M |
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 1%.