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SO Southern Company

utility · 2026-09-28

N/A
too hard · 36
Owner-earnings value$62.03
Price$82.88
Margin of safety -25.2%

Quality gate · 36/100

Returns on capital 0.5/30
Consistency 18.4/22
Margins / pricing power 12.9/16
Balance sheet 0.8/16
Cash conversion 0/10
Capital allocation 3.9/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%) · over-levered (net debt/EBITDA 4.9x > 4x)

Median ROIC6.2%
Gross margin48.3%
Net debt / EBITDA4.9x
FCF conversion-32%
Share count / yr+0.6%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)4.66B
Owner-earnings yield4.9%
Free-cash-flow yield-3.4%
Growth used (normalized)0.3%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)7.2%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
14.67B 0.3%4.29B
24.70B 0.6%3.96B
34.74B 0.9%3.66B
44.80B 1.2%3.40B
54.87B 1.5%3.17B
64.96B 1.8%2.96B
75.06B 2.1%2.77B
85.19B 2.4%2.60B
95.33B 2.7%2.45B
105.49B 3.0%2.32B

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • The Math Doesn't Lie: What It Really Costs to Generate $300 in Dividend Income From Southern Company Stock
  • Southern (SO) Signs Google Nuclear Deal As Valuation Upside Faces A Fresh Test
  • America Needs More Electricity. Here’s What It Could Mean for DTE Energy
  • VST Keeps Writing Checks To Its Shareholders
  • 4 Utility Stocks With Reliable Dividends and a Massive New Growth Engine
  • Down 7% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Southern Co. (SO)
  • Southern Company Just Inked a Power Agreement With a Leading Big Tech Stock
  • Southern Co. (SO) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~7%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-28 36 $82.88 $62.03 -25.2% N/A
2026-08-17 36 $92.80 $62.03 -33.2% N/A
2026-07-02 36 $95.12 $59.30 -37.7% N/A
2026-06-25 36 $95.78 $59.30 -38.1% N/A
2026-06-23 36 $94.93 $59.30 -37.5% N/A