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SWK Stanley Black & Decker

industrial · 2026-09-21

N/A
too hard · 29
Owner-earnings value$70.81
Price$89.58
Margin of safety -20.9%

Quality gate · 29/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 12.7/22
Margins / pricing power 9.1/16
Balance sheet 2.9/16
Cash conversion 0.2/10
Capital allocation 4.1/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 3% < 9%)

Median ROIC3.5%
Gross margin31.9%
Net debt / EBITDA3.1x
FCF conversion21%
Share count / yr+0.4%
Profitable years3/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)854.70M
Owner-earnings yield6.3%
Free-cash-flow yield9.5%
Growth used (normalized)0.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)5.7%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)10.3%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1854.70M 0.0%775.05M
2857.55M 0.3%705.17M
3863.27M 0.7%643.72M
4871.90M 1.0%589.57M
5883.52M 1.3%541.76M
6898.25M 1.7%499.46M
7916.21M 2.0%461.97M
8937.59M 2.3%428.70M
9962.60M 2.7%399.11M
10991.47M 3.0%372.78M

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • Stanley Black & Decker Targets Margin Gains as DEWALT Takes Share
  • Trane Or Allegion: Which One Is The Cheaper Way In?
  • Stanley Black Exhibits Strong Prospects Despite Persisting Headwinds
  • 5 Dividend Kings Trading at Rare Discounts to Their Historical Valuations
  • Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Agreed to Sell Excel Industries. Will a Narrower Portfolio Improve Returns?
  • Howmet Rises 26.5% Year to Date: Should Investors Buy the Stock Now?
  • Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Fall Late Afternoon
  • Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Lincoln Electric, Stanley Black & Decker, Core & Main and Kennametal

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~6%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 0%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-09-21 29 $89.58 $70.81 -20.9% N/A
2026-07-02 26 $91.34 $50.25 -45.0% N/A
2026-06-25 26 $89.66 $50.78 -43.4% N/A
2026-06-23 26 $83.81 $50.12 -40.2% N/A