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SYY Sysco

consumer_staples · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · 2026-09-14

HOLD
good · 71 no moat circle of competence: edge trend flat · +5.6% vs 200-DMA
Owner-earnings value$78.72
Price$83.21
Margin of safety -5.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.

Quality gate · 71/100

Returns on capital 23.5/30
Consistency 21.0/22
Margins / pricing power 6.2/16
Balance sheet 4.8/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 5.6/6
Median ROIC16.5%
Gross margin18.5%
Net debt / EBITDA3.2x
FCF conversion106%
Share count / yr-1.8%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Moat no moat
Trajectorystable
Managementadequate

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.94B
Owner-earnings yield4.9%
Free-cash-flow yield4.9%
Growth used (normalized)6.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)7.3%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
12.05B 6.0%1.88B
22.17B 5.7%1.83B
32.29B 5.3%1.77B
42.40B 5.0%1.70B
52.51B 4.7%1.63B
62.62B 4.3%1.56B
72.73B 4.0%1.49B
82.83B 3.7%1.42B
92.92B 3.3%1.34B
103.01B 3.0%1.27B

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • Is Sysco Stock Underperforming the Dow?
  • Will Sysco's $500M AI Push Support Its Higher Growth Targets?
  • Sysco targets $500M in AI-driven cost savings
  • 3 Consumer Stocks We Steer Clear Of
  • Sysco raises mid-term growth targets and outlines $500 million AI efficiency programme
  • Sysco grants CEO, interim CFO stock awards ahead of JRD acquisition
  • Billionaire Daniel Loeb Is Betting on These 2 Non-AI Stocks
  • Sysco (SYY) Down 2.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~7%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 6%. · growth/moat reused from the 2026-08-05 deep dive (claude-sub-sonnet).

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-28 71 $82.30 $68.99 -16.2% HOLD
2026-10-27 71 $82.16 $68.99 -16.0% HOLD
2026-10-26 71 $81.37 $68.99 -15.2% HOLD
2026-10-23 71 $83.97 $68.99 -17.8% HOLD
2026-10-22 71 $82.06 $78.72 -4.1% HOLD
2026-10-21 71 $82.89 $78.72 -5.0% HOLD
2026-10-20 71 $81.59 $78.72 -3.5% HOLD
2026-10-19 71 $82.22 $78.72 -4.3% HOLD
2026-10-16 71 $82.15 $78.72 -4.2% HOLD
2026-10-15 71 $80.97 $78.72 -2.8% HOLD
2026-10-14 71 $79.03 $78.72 -0.4% HOLD
2026-10-13 71 $78.70 $78.72 +0.0% HOLD
2026-10-12 71 $78.14 $78.72 +0.7% HOLD
2026-10-09 71 $78.20 $78.72 +0.7% HOLD
2026-10-08 71 $76.79 $78.72 +2.5% HOLD
2026-10-07 71 $77.45 $78.72 +1.6% HOLD
2026-10-06 71 $76.38 $78.72 +3.1% HOLD
2026-10-05 71 $77.49 $78.72 +1.6% HOLD
2026-10-02 71 $77.77 $78.72 +1.2% HOLD
2026-10-01 71 $77.96 $78.72 +1.0% HOLD
2026-09-30 71 $78.49 $78.72 +0.3% HOLD
2026-09-29 71 $78.57 $78.72 +0.2% HOLD
2026-09-28 71 $78.46 $78.72 +0.3% HOLD
2026-09-25 71 $78.19 $78.72 +0.7% HOLD
2026-09-24 71 $77.14 $78.72 +2.0% HOLD
2026-09-23 71 $78.43 $78.72 +0.4% HOLD
2026-09-22 71 $78.43 $78.72 +0.4% HOLD
2026-09-21 71 $79.05 $78.72 -0.4% HOLD
2026-09-18 71 $79.11 $78.72 -0.5% HOLD
2026-09-17 71 $78.71 $78.72 +0.0% HOLD
2026-09-16 71 $79.60 $78.72 -1.1% HOLD
2026-09-15 71 $83.54 $78.72 -5.8% HOLD
2026-09-14 71 $83.21 $78.72 -5.4% HOLD
2026-09-11 71 $82.31 $74.02 -10.1% HOLD
2026-09-10 71 $81.57 $74.02 -9.3% HOLD
2026-09-09 71 $79.84 $74.02 -7.3% HOLD
2026-09-08 71 $80.05 $74.02 -7.5% HOLD
2026-09-07 71 $80.05 $74.02 -7.5% HOLD
2026-09-04 71 $81.08 $74.02 -8.7% HOLD
2026-09-03 71 $81.76 $74.02 -9.5% HOLD
2026-09-02 71 $82.11 $74.02 -9.8% HOLD
2026-09-01 71 $81.08 $74.02 -8.7% HOLD
2026-08-31 71 $81.94 $74.02 -9.7% HOLD
2026-08-28 71 $82.45 $74.02 -10.2% HOLD
2026-08-27 71 $83.27 $74.02 -11.1% HOLD
2026-08-26 71 $83.46 $74.02 -11.3% HOLD
2026-08-25 71 $83.86 $74.02 -11.7% HOLD
2026-08-24 71 $84.10 $74.02 -12.0% HOLD
2026-08-21 71 $83.06 $74.02 -10.9% HOLD
2026-08-20 71 $82.46 $74.02 -10.2% HOLD
2026-08-19 71 $81.96 $74.02 -9.7% HOLD
2026-08-18 71 $82.99 $74.02 -10.8% HOLD
2026-08-17 71 $82.99 $74.02 -10.8% HOLD
2026-08-14 71 $83.55 $74.02 -11.4% HOLD
2026-08-13 71 $84.69 $74.02 -12.6% HOLD
2026-08-12 71 $84.26 $74.02 -12.1% HOLD
2026-08-11 71 $83.87 $74.02 -11.7% HOLD
2026-08-10 71 $84.29 $74.02 -12.2% HOLD
2026-08-07 71 $84.35 $74.02 -12.2% HOLD
2026-08-06 71 $84.21 $74.02 -12.1% HOLD
2026-08-05 71 $82.79 $74.02 -10.6% HOLD
2026-08-04 71 $85.24 $73.61 -13.6% HOLD
2026-08-03 71 $85.24 $73.61 -13.6% HOLD
2026-07-31 71 $84.71 $73.61 -13.1% HOLD
2026-07-30 71 $85.32 $73.61 -13.7% HOLD
2026-07-29 71 $84.09 $73.61 -12.5% HOLD
2026-07-28 71 $84.09 $73.61 -12.5% HOLD
2026-07-27 71 $81.73 $73.61 -9.9% HOLD
2026-07-24 71 $81.73 $73.61 -9.9% HOLD
2026-07-23 71 $82.12 $73.61 -10.4% HOLD
2026-07-22 71 $81.22 $73.61 -9.4% HOLD
2026-07-21 71 $80.78 $73.61 -8.9% HOLD
2026-07-20 71 $81.69 $73.61 -9.9% HOLD
2026-07-17 71 $82.25 $73.61 -10.5% HOLD
2026-07-16 71 $80.73 $73.61 -8.8% HOLD
2026-07-15 71 $83.46 $73.61 -11.8% HOLD
2026-07-14 71 $83.46 $73.61 -11.8% HOLD
2026-07-13 71 $83.83 $73.61 -12.2% HOLD
2026-07-10 71 $82.03 $73.61 -10.3% HOLD
2026-07-09 71 $83.17 $73.61 -11.5% HOLD
2026-07-08 71 $84.62 $73.61 -13.0% HOLD
2026-07-07 71 $84.23 $73.61 -12.6% HOLD
2026-07-06 71 $84.83 $73.61 -13.2% HOLD
2026-07-03 71 $84.83 $73.61 -13.2% HOLD
2026-07-02 71 $83.53 $73.61 -11.9% HOLD
2026-06-25 71 $80.59 $73.61 -8.7% HOLD
2026-06-23 71 $79.28 $73.61 -7.2% HOLD