TGT Target Corporation
good · 70
no moat
circle of competence: edge
trend up · +25.5% vs 200-DMA
Owner-earnings value$164.75
Price$154.40
Margin of safety
+6.7%
Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.
Quality gate · 70/100
Median ROIC13.4%
Gross margin29.3%
Net debt / EBITDA1.6x
FCF conversion65%
Share count / yr-0.5%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
| Moat | no moat |
| Trajectory | stable |
| Management | adequate |
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 4.39B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 6.3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.4% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 4.5% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 2.9% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.4% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.59B | 4.5% | 4.19B |
| 2 | 4.79B | 4.3% | 4.00B |
| 3 | 4.99B | 4.2% | 3.81B |
| 4 | 5.19B | 4.0% | 3.62B |
| 5 | 5.39B | 3.8% | 3.43B |
| 6 | 5.58B | 3.7% | 3.25B |
| 7 | 5.78B | 3.5% | 3.07B |
| 8 | 5.97B | 3.3% | 2.90B |
| 9 | 6.16B | 3.2% | 2.74B |
| 10 | 6.35B | 3.0% | 2.58B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- Target and Five Other Retail Stocks That Make the Grade
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- Jim Cramer Says “Target’s Doing Better than Walmart Right Now”
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~3%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 4%. · growth/moat reused from the 2026-08-07 deep dive (glm-5.2).