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TMUS T-Mobile US

telecom · 2026-10-22

N/A
too hard · 60
Owner-earnings value$199.69
Price$153.75
Margin of safety +29.9%

Quality gate · 60/100

Returns on capital 7.3/30
Consistency 17.1/22
Margins / pricing power 15.3/16
Balance sheet 4.4/16
Cash conversion 9.9/10
Capital allocation 5.9/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 9% < 9%)

Median ROIC8.7%
Gross margin62.2%
Net debt / EBITDA3.6x
FCF conversion98%
Share count / yr-3.6%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)16.24B
Owner-earnings yield9.8%
Free-cash-flow yield9.8%
Growth used (normalized)-3.2%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)-9.2%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.0%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
115.72B -3.2%14.42B
215.33B -2.5%12.90B
315.05B -1.8%11.62B
414.88B -1.1%10.54B
514.82B -0.4%9.63B
614.85B 0.3%8.86B
714.99B 0.9%8.20B
815.24B 1.6%7.65B
915.59B 2.3%7.18B
1016.06B 3.0%6.78B

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~-9%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits -3%. Capped at market + 6pts.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-22 60 $153.75 $199.69 +29.9% N/A
2026-10-08 60 $167.65 $217.32 +29.6% N/A
2026-09-24 60 $165.66 $214.80 +29.7% N/A
2026-09-10 60 $177.34 $229.59 +29.5% N/A
2026-08-27 60 $179.61 $232.47 +29.4% N/A
2026-08-13 60 $177.13 $229.33 +29.5% N/A
2026-07-29 60 $182.39 $202.59 +11.1% N/A
2026-07-15 60 $187.13 $195.03 +4.2% N/A
2026-07-02 60 $173.06 $195.03 +12.7% N/A
2026-06-25 60 $180.79 $195.03 +7.9% N/A
2026-06-23 60 $184.57 $195.03 +5.7% N/A