TTWO Take-Two Interactive
too hard · 28
Owner-earnings value$33.98
Price$200.32
Margin of safety
-83.0%
Quality gate · 28/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic -20% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years
Median ROIC-20.0%
Gross margin56.0%
Net debt / EBITDA1.1x
Share count / yr+3.2%
Profitable years0/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 337.50M |
| Owner-earnings yield | 0.9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.9% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 7.6% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 25.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 9.6% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 363.00M | 7.6% | 331.20M |
| 2 | 388.59M | 7.0% | 323.49M |
| 3 | 414.01M | 6.5% | 314.47M |
| 4 | 439.00M | 6.0% | 304.25M |
| 5 | 463.28M | 5.5% | 292.95M |
| 6 | 486.56M | 5.0% | 280.72M |
| 7 | 508.55M | 4.5% | 267.71M |
| 8 | 528.95M | 4.0% | 254.06M |
| 9 | 547.50M | 3.5% | 239.93M |
| 10 | 563.92M | 3.0% | 225.48M |
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 8%.