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TYL Tyler Technologies

software · 2026-10-12

N/A
too hard · 62
Owner-earnings value$233.26
Price$329.55
Margin of safety -29.2%

Quality gate · 62/100

Returns on capital 0/30
Consistency 19.8/22
Margins / pricing power 13.1/16
Balance sheet 15.5/16
Cash conversion 10/10
Capital allocation 3.4/6

⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%)

Median ROIC5.7%
Gross margin47.2%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.6x
FCF conversion204%
Share count / yr+1.1%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)454.37M
Owner-earnings yield3.4%
Free-cash-flow yield5.2%
Growth used (normalized)8.0%
Market-implied growth (reverse DCF)16.9%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)9.1%

Projected owner earnings

YrOwner earningsGrowthPV
1473.75M 8.0%434.38M
2509.13M 7.5%428.01M
3544.30M 6.9%419.55M
4578.86M 6.3%409.11M
5612.39M 5.8%396.83M
6644.43M 5.2%382.89M
7674.56M 4.7%367.48M
8702.33M 4.1%350.81M
9727.32M 3.6%333.10M
10749.14M 3.0%314.58M

⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Net cash 0.4B credited to value (interest stripped from owner earnings to avoid double-counting). · Price pays for ~17%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 8%.

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-12 62 $329.55 $233.26 -29.2% N/A
2026-09-08 62 $364.03 $236.45 -35.0% N/A
2026-08-05 62 $313.33 $236.69 -24.5% N/A
2026-07-02 62 $301.67 $227.71 -24.5% N/A
2026-06-25 62 $286.03 $225.59 -21.1% N/A
2026-06-23 62 $279.14 $225.59 -19.2% N/A