UAL United Airlines Holdings
fair · 56
Owner-earnings value$133.73
Price$110.72
Margin of safety
+20.8%
Quality gate · 56/100
Median ROIC10.2%
Gross margin26.9%
Net debt / EBITDA2.9x
FCF conversion75%
Share count / yr-0.4%
Profitable years4/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 2.54B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 7.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.1% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 9.5% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 4.8% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 10.8% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.79B | 9.5% | 2.51B |
| 2 | 3.03B | 8.8% | 2.47B |
| 3 | 3.28B | 8.1% | 2.41B |
| 4 | 3.52B | 7.4% | 2.33B |
| 5 | 3.75B | 6.6% | 2.24B |
| 6 | 3.97B | 5.9% | 2.14B |
| 7 | 4.18B | 5.2% | 2.03B |
| 8 | 4.36B | 4.5% | 1.92B |
| 9 | 4.53B | 3.7% | 1.79B |
| 10 | 4.66B | 3.0% | 1.67B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
- United Airlines (UAL) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
- Redburn Says Its Southwest Sell Thesis Has “Played Out.” So Why Does It Still Prefer Delta and United?
- JetBlue (JBLU) Raises Its Revenue Outlook. Can Higher Fares Outrun Rising Costs?
- Iran “Offered” to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz. These Stocks Could Be the Biggest Winners
- Air, Cruise Lines Stage Uneven Rally As Oil Ebbs; Are They Ready To Rebound?
- 3 Consumer Stocks We Steer Clear Of
- Wall Street Analysts Think United (UAL) Is a Good Investment: Is It?
- 1 Cash-Producing Stock on Our Buy List and 2 That Underwhelm
⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~5%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.