VST Vistra Corp.
too hard · 49
Owner-earnings value$99.77
Price$140.83
Margin of safety
-29.2%
Quality gate · 49/100
Median ROIC10.3%
Gross margin38.0%
Net debt / EBITDA2.9x
FCF conversion175%
Share count / yr-4.6%
Profitable years3/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 2.22B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 4.7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.8% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 8.9% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 17.9% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 11.6% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.42B | 8.9% | 2.17B |
| 2 | 2.62B | 8.3% | 2.10B |
| 3 | 2.82B | 7.6% | 2.02B |
| 4 | 3.01B | 6.9% | 1.94B |
| 5 | 3.20B | 6.3% | 1.85B |
| 6 | 3.38B | 5.6% | 1.75B |
| 7 | 3.55B | 5.0% | 1.64B |
| 8 | 3.70B | 4.3% | 1.54B |
| 9 | 3.84B | 3.7% | 1.43B |
| 10 | 3.95B | 3.0% | 1.32B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Price pays for ~18%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 9%.