WDC Western Digital
too hard · 36
Owner-earnings value$119.67
Price$464.60
Margin of safety
-74.2%
Quality gate · 36/100
⚠ sub-hurdle returns (median roic 6% < 9%) · unprofitable in too many years
Median ROIC6.2%
Gross margin48.9%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.1x
FCF conversion32%
Share count / yr+3.9%
Profitable years2/4
Moat & management
Owner-earnings inputs
| Owner earnings (TTM) | 3.51B |
| Owner-earnings yield | 2.1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.1% |
| Growth used (normalized) | 10.0% |
| Market-implied growth (reverse DCF) | 25.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (hurdle) | 14.0% |
Projected owner earnings
| Yr | Owner earnings | Growth | PV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.83B | 10.0% | 3.36B |
| 2 | 4.19B | 9.2% | 3.22B |
| 3 | 4.54B | 8.4% | 3.07B |
| 4 | 4.89B | 7.7% | 2.90B |
| 5 | 5.23B | 6.9% | 2.72B |
| 6 | 5.55B | 6.1% | 2.53B |
| 7 | 5.84B | 5.3% | 2.34B |
| 8 | 6.11B | 4.6% | 2.15B |
| 9 | 6.34B | 3.8% | 1.96B |
| 10 | 6.53B | 3.0% | 1.77B |
Recent news
score · 8 articles
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⚠ maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A), capped at FCF · Net cash 0.5B credited to value (interest stripped from owner earnings to avoid double-counting). · Price pays for ~25%/yr owner-earnings growth over 10y (reverse DCF); model credits 10%.