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WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation

insurance · valued with sonnet high conviction · 2026-06-25

SELL
wonderful · 83 ▟ narrow moat circle of competence: in ✓ would own for a decade
Owner-earnings value$50.65
Price$70.05
Margin of safety -27.7%

Rare specialty insurer with 50-year culture of underwriting discipline trading below intrinsic value

The business

W. R. Berkley is a specialty commercial lines insurer operating ~60 decentralized underwriting units focused on excess & surplus and admitted specialty risks. It earns underwriting profit plus investment income on the float. Revenue grows by writing more premium at disciplined pricing, not chasing volume in soft markets.

Quality gate · 83/100

Returns on capital 26.5/30
Consistency 21.3/22
Margins / pricing power 7.2/16
Balance sheet 15.6/16
Cash conversion 7.0/10
Capital allocation 5.6/6
Median ROE19.5%
FCF conversion197%
Share count / yr-1.7%
Profitable years4/4

Moat & management

Moat ▟ narrow moat
Sourceintangible
Trajectorystable
Managementexcellent

The durable edge is a deeply embedded underwriting culture—built over 50 years under founder William Berkley—that enforces pricing discipline through hard and soft cycles. Specialty/E&S lines carry higher broker-relationship switching costs than standard commercial, but insurance remains fundamentally a commodity; a narrow moat is honest. No structural network effect or cost monopoly exists, so the moat lives or dies with the culture.

Founder-led with disciplined decentralized capital allocation; WRB willingly shrinks in soft markets rather than buy growth. Share count falling at 1.7%/yr signals buybacks at sensible prices, and leverage is modest for an insurer—hallmarks of owner-operators thinking in decades.

Owner-earnings inputs

Owner earnings (TTM)1.88B
Owner-earnings yield7.2%
Free-cash-flow yield12.9%
Growth used (normalized)7.0%
Terminal growth3.0%
Discount rate (hurdle)6.7%

Key risks

  • Underwriting culture erosion if Berkley family influence fades post-succession
  • Prolonged soft market compressing combined ratios and forcing reserve releases to maintain optics
  • Catastrophic or systemic loss event (cyber, climate tail) exceeding modeled exposure in specialty books

Catalysts

  • Sustained hard E&S market extends elevated underwriting margins longer than consensus expects
  • Higher-for-longer rates lift investment income on a $23B+ fixed-income portfolio

Recent news

score · 8 articles

  • American Financial Outperforms Industry in a Year: Time to Buy?
  • ACGL Outperforms Industry, Trades at a Premium: How to Play the Stock
  • Goldman Sachs Upgrades W. R. Berkley (WRB) Stock to Buy
  • W. R. Berkley Stock: Is WRB Underperforming the Financial Sector?
  • Bill Berkley Took Warren Buffett’s Route to Building a Successful Insurer
  • Property & Casualty Insurance Stocks Q1 Teardown: W. R. Berkley (NYSE:WRB) Vs The Rest
  • SIGI Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Leave?
  • TRV Stock Outperforms Industry, Trades at Premium: Should You Hold?

⚠ financial — owner earnings ≈ net income · financial — valued by residual income (ROE vs cost of equity on book equity)

History

DateQualityPriceValueMoSRating
2026-10-28 81 $72.38 $46.74 -35.4% HOLD
2026-10-27 81 $73.79 $46.74 -36.7% HOLD
2026-10-26 81 $73.33 $46.74 -36.3% HOLD
2026-10-23 81 $75.55 $46.74 -38.1% HOLD
2026-10-22 81 $74.34 $46.74 -37.1% HOLD
2026-10-21 81 $73.15 $46.74 -36.1% HOLD
2026-10-20 81 $74.08 $46.74 -36.9% HOLD
2026-10-19 81 $75.42 $46.74 -38.0% HOLD
2026-10-16 81 $73.97 $46.74 -36.8% HOLD
2026-10-15 81 $73.80 $46.74 -36.7% HOLD
2026-10-14 81 $73.55 $46.74 -36.5% HOLD
2026-10-13 81 $72.90 $46.74 -35.9% HOLD
2026-10-12 81 $71.91 $46.74 -35.0% HOLD
2026-10-09 81 $72.05 $46.74 -35.1% HOLD
2026-10-08 81 $69.73 $46.74 -33.0% HOLD
2026-10-07 81 $69.65 $46.74 -32.9% HOLD
2026-10-06 81 $69.77 $46.74 -33.0% HOLD
2026-10-05 81 $68.98 $48.54 -29.6% HOLD
2026-10-02 81 $68.90 $48.54 -29.6% HOLD
2026-10-01 81 $67.54 $48.54 -28.1% HOLD
2026-09-30 81 $68.22 $48.54 -28.9% HOLD
2026-09-29 81 $67.66 $48.54 -28.3% HOLD
2026-09-28 81 $66.82 $48.54 -27.4% HOLD
2026-09-25 81 $67.29 $48.54 -27.9% HOLD
2026-09-24 81 $67.67 $48.54 -28.3% HOLD
2026-09-23 81 $68.79 $48.54 -29.4% HOLD
2026-09-22 81 $68.79 $48.54 -29.4% HOLD
2026-09-21 81 $69.99 $48.54 -30.7% HOLD
2026-09-18 81 $70.10 $48.54 -30.8% HOLD
2026-09-17 81 $69.95 $48.54 -30.6% HOLD
2026-09-16 81 $71.28 $48.54 -31.9% HOLD
2026-09-15 81 $70.87 $48.54 -31.5% HOLD
2026-09-14 81 $69.90 $48.54 -30.6% HOLD
2026-09-11 81 $70.05 $48.54 -30.7% HOLD
2026-09-10 81 $69.91 $48.54 -30.6% HOLD
2026-09-09 81 $69.77 $48.54 -30.4% HOLD
2026-09-08 81 $69.14 $48.54 -29.8% HOLD
2026-09-07 81 $69.14 $48.54 -29.8% HOLD
2026-09-04 81 $69.50 $48.54 -30.2% HOLD
2026-09-03 81 $68.12 $48.54 -28.7% HOLD
2026-09-02 81 $67.72 $48.83 -27.9% HOLD
2026-09-01 81 $67.56 $48.83 -27.7% HOLD
2026-08-31 81 $68.44 $48.83 -28.7% HOLD
2026-08-28 81 $68.34 $48.83 -28.5% HOLD
2026-08-27 81 $68.67 $48.83 -28.9% HOLD
2026-08-26 81 $68.48 $48.83 -28.7% HOLD
2026-08-25 81 $69.70 $48.83 -29.9% HOLD
2026-08-24 81 $68.60 $48.83 -28.8% HOLD
2026-08-21 81 $69.18 $48.83 -29.4% HOLD
2026-08-20 81 $69.61 $48.83 -29.9% HOLD
2026-08-19 81 $70.17 $48.83 -30.4% HOLD
2026-08-18 81 $70.51 $48.83 -30.7% HOLD
2026-08-17 81 $70.51 $48.83 -30.7% HOLD
2026-08-14 81 $70.47 $48.83 -30.7% HOLD
2026-08-13 81 $69.73 $48.83 -30.0% HOLD
2026-08-12 81 $70.09 $48.83 -30.3% HOLD
2026-08-11 81 $70.82 $48.83 -31.0% HOLD
2026-08-10 81 $71.60 $48.83 -31.8% HOLD
2026-08-07 81 $72.13 $48.83 -32.3% HOLD
2026-08-06 81 $72.08 $48.83 -32.3% HOLD
2026-08-05 81 $71.39 $48.83 -31.6% HOLD
2026-08-04 81 $72.54 $48.83 -32.7% HOLD
2026-08-03 81 $72.54 $48.83 -32.7% HOLD
2026-07-31 81 $73.38 $50.20 -31.6% HOLD
2026-07-30 81 $75.65 $50.20 -33.6% HOLD
2026-07-29 81 $75.70 $50.20 -33.7% HOLD
2026-07-28 81 $75.70 $50.20 -33.7% HOLD
2026-07-27 81 $73.43 $50.20 -31.6% HOLD
2026-07-24 81 $73.43 $50.20 -31.6% HOLD
2026-07-23 81 $72.36 $50.20 -30.6% HOLD
2026-07-22 81 $72.16 $50.20 -30.4% HOLD
2026-07-21 81 $72.73 $50.20 -31.0% HOLD
2026-07-20 81 $71.61 $50.20 -29.9% HOLD
2026-07-17 81 $69.90 $50.20 -28.2% HOLD
2026-07-16 81 $69.88 $50.20 -28.2% HOLD
2026-07-15 81 $73.84 $50.20 -32.0% HOLD
2026-07-14 81 $73.84 $50.20 -32.0% HOLD
2026-07-13 81 $72.19 $50.20 -30.5% HOLD
2026-07-10 81 $71.82 $50.20 -30.1% HOLD
2026-07-09 81 $71.28 $50.20 -29.6% HOLD
2026-07-08 81 $71.54 $50.20 -29.8% HOLD
2026-07-07 81 $70.92 $50.20 -29.2% HOLD
2026-07-06 81 $72.08 $50.20 -30.3% HOLD
2026-07-03 81 $72.08 $50.20 -30.3% HOLD
2026-07-02 81 $70.66 $50.20 -28.9% HOLD
2026-06-25 83 $70.05 $50.65 -27.7% SELL
2026-06-23 83 $68.96 $50.10 -27.4% SELL