❉ Buffybot wonderful businesses, fair prices

Wonderful businesses at a margin of safety

2026-10-16

13fat pitches
201on watchlist
5/22cleared gate today
102%universe scanned
5.1%risk-free
Fat pitch of the day opus

PYPL PayPal

A shrinking moat priced for decline: about 10% cash yield plus buybacks beats the -2% growth the price implies.

BUY wonderful · 85 ▟ narrow moat payments
Owner-earnings value$79.20
Price$57.16
Margin of safety +38.6%

PayPal runs a two-sided payments network. Merchants pay it a take rate on transactions processed through branded PayPal checkout, Venmo, and unbranded processing (Braintree). It also earns money from interest on customer balances, credit products, and FX. Branded checkout carries high margins, while Braintree is low-margin, high-volume processing.

Full moat, owner-earnings & quality breakdown →

Today's wonderful businesses · 3 deep-dived of 22 scanned

ADBE HOLD

Adobe Inc. · software

wonderful · 96 ▟ wide moat
Value$288.04
Price$251.67
MoS +14.5%

A cash machine priced for decline: 6% growth beats the 3% implied price if AI only dents the moat.

PHM HOLD

PulteGroup · retail

wonderful · 81 ▟ narrow moat
Value$114.76
Price$112.99
MoS +1.6%

Best-run builder in a commodity, cyclical industry; peak-ish earnings mean the ~3% growth priced in is roughly fair, not cheap.

Watchlist · 201 wonderful businesses · 13 at a margin of safety

The quality gate has scanned 514 of 503 names; these are the ones worth owning at the right price. See the full watchlist →

Ticker Sector Quality Moat Price Value Margin of safety Rating
CF materials wonderful · 85 ▟ narrow moat $119.77 $168.81 +40.9% STRONG BUY
PYPL payments wonderful · 85 ▟ narrow moat $57.16 $79.20 +38.6% BUY
INCY pharma good · 77 no moat $113.27 $156.30 +38.0% HOLD
GDDY technology wonderful · 82 ▟ narrow moat $107.29 $146.96 +37.0% BUY
LULU apparel wonderful · 95 ▟ narrow moat $99.09 $132.62 +33.8% HOLD
CTSH software wonderful · 81 ▟ narrow moat $65.77 $86.92 +32.2% BUY
NVR retail wonderful · 88 ▟ narrow moat $5,940.83 $7,764.83 +30.7% HOLD
SOLV healthcare good · 73 ▟ narrow moat $87.86 $114.71 +30.6% BUY
ZTS pharma wonderful · 90 ▟ wide moat $78.42 $101.30 +29.2% HOLD
APA energy good · 76 no moat $47.23 $60.89 +28.9% HOLD
DECK apparel wonderful · 97 ▟ narrow moat $86.58 $110.65 +27.8% HOLD
ACGL insurance wonderful · 81 ▟ narrow moat $99.31 $123.58 +24.4% BUY
AVY materials good · 73 ▟ narrow moat $175.88 $213.01 +21.1% BUY
BR industrial good · 78 ▟ wide moat $174.11 $207.93 +19.4% HOLD
UBER industrial good · 69 ▟ narrow moat $71.27 $84.06 +17.9% HOLD
INTU software wonderful · 84 ▟ wide moat $330.17 $388.00 +17.5% HOLD
UHS healthcare good · 69 ▟ narrow moat $187.36 $217.10 +15.9% HOLD
ADBE software wonderful · 96 ▟ wide moat $251.67 $288.04 +14.5% HOLD
SNA industrial wonderful · 90 ▟ wide moat $365.91 $418.41 +14.3% HOLD
VLO energy good · 73 ▟ narrow moat $444.06 $506.97 +14.2% HOLD