❉ Buffybot wonderful businesses, fair prices

Wonderful businesses at a margin of safety

2026-09-14

16fat pitches
200on watchlist
9/22cleared gate today
101%universe scanned
5.0%risk-free
Fat pitch of the day glm-5.2

CF CF Industries

Cheap-gas cost moat in a cyclical commodity; easily beats the bar, but not a forever compounder.

STRONG BUY wonderful · 85 ▟ narrow moat materials
Owner-earnings value$188.21
Price$133.07
Margin of safety +41.4%

CF turns cheap North American natural gas into nitrogen fertilizer (ammonia, urea, UAN) at massive, efficient plants and sells it into globally priced commodity markets; its profit is essentially the spread between Henry Hub gas costs and world nitrogen prices. It is also investing billions in low-carbon 'blue' ammonia capacity aimed at clean energy and industrial demand. Simple economics, but highly cyclical revenues.

Full moat, owner-earnings & quality breakdown →

Today's wonderful businesses · 4 deep-dived of 22 scanned

TPR HOLD

Tapestry, Inc. · apparel

wonderful · 80 no moat
Value$120.11
Price$118.49
MoS +1.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.

SYY HOLD

Sysco · consumer_staples

good · 71 no moat
Value$78.72
Price$83.21
MoS -5.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.

ULTA HOLD

Ulta Beauty · retail

wonderful · 87 no moat
Value$503.44
Price$546.78
MoS -7.9%

Model unavailable; showing baseline owner-earnings value.

Watchlist · 200 wonderful businesses · 16 at a margin of safety

The quality gate has scanned 508 of 503 names; these are the ones worth owning at the right price. See the full watchlist →

Ticker Sector Quality Moat Price Value Margin of safety Rating
LULU apparel wonderful · 95 no moat $98.97 $169.80 +71.6% HOLD
IT software wonderful · 94 ▟ wide moat $179.59 $267.09 +48.7% STRONG BUY
ZTS pharma wonderful · 90 no moat $72.97 $108.02 +48.0% HOLD
PYPL payments wonderful · 85 no moat $53.72 $76.32 +42.1% HOLD
CF materials wonderful · 85 ▟ narrow moat $133.07 $188.21 +41.4% STRONG BUY
DECK apparel wonderful · 97 ▟ narrow moat $81.27 $113.73 +39.9% HOLD
CTSH software wonderful · 81 ▟ narrow moat $60.00 $82.52 +37.5% BUY
ACGL insurance wonderful · 81 ▟ narrow moat $96.09 $129.84 +35.1% BUY
GDDY technology wonderful · 82 no moat $98.07 $132.44 +35.0% HOLD
PTC software good · 72 no moat $130.78 $175.01 +33.8% HOLD
ACN software wonderful · 89 ▟ narrow moat $183.90 $242.23 +31.7% HOLD
APA energy good · 76 ▟ narrow moat $44.73 $56.70 +26.8% BUY
SOLV healthcare good · 73 ▟ narrow moat $87.45 $109.55 +25.3% BUY
UHS healthcare good · 69 no moat $174.83 $218.86 +25.2% HOLD
NVR retail wonderful · 88 ▟ wide moat $6,160.76 $7,666.75 +24.4% HOLD
INTU software good · 79 ▟ wide moat $321.57 $387.82 +20.6% HOLD
ADBE software wonderful · 96 no moat $252.23 $300.84 +19.3% HOLD
VLO energy good · 73 no moat $390.42 $465.45 +19.2% HOLD
MPC energy good · 75 no moat $395.93 $459.10 +16.0% HOLD
UBER industrial good · 68 ▟ narrow moat $71.67 $82.20 +14.7% HOLD